000 03191cam a2200277 a 4500
999 _c4902
_d4902
001 22445
010 _a 2009038062
020 _a9780521199674 (hardback)
020 _a0521199670 (hardback)
040 _aDLC
082 0 0 _a338.5/42
100 1 _aVogel, Harold L.,
_d1946-
_950685
245 1 0 _aFinancial market bubbles and crashes /
_cHarold L. Vogel.
260 _aNew York :
_bCambridge University Press,
_c2010.
300 _axxvi, 358 p. :
_bill ;
_c25 cm.
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505 0 _aPart I. Background for Analysis -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Bubble stories -- 3. Random walks -- 4. Bubble theories -- 5. Framework for investigation -- Part II. Empirical Features and Results -- 6. Bubble basics -- 7. Bubble dynamics -- 8. Money and credit features -- 9. Behavioral risk features -- 10. Crashes, panics, and chaos -- 11. Financial asset bubble theory.
520 _a"Despite the thousands of articles and the millions of times that the word 'bubble' has been used in the business press, there still does not appear to be a cohesive theory or persuasive empirical approach with which to study 'bubble' and 'crash' conditions. This book presents a plausible and accessible descriptive theory and empirical approach to the analysis of such financial market conditions. It advances such a framework through application of standard econometric methods to its central idea, which is that financial bubbles reflect urgent short side rationed demand. From this basic idea, an elasticity of variance concept is developed. It is further shown that a behavioral risk premium can probably be measured and related to the standard equity risk premium models in a way that is consistent with conventional theory"--Provided by publisher.
520 _a"One would think that economists would by now have already developed a solid grip on how financial bubbles form and how to measure and compare them. This is not the case. Despite the thousands of articles in the professional literature and the millions of times that the word "bubble" has been used in the business press, there still does not appear to be a cohesive theory or persuasive empirical approach with which to study "bubble" and "crash" conditions. This book presents what is meant to be a plausible and accessible descriptive theory and empirical approach to the analysis of such financial market conditions. It advances such a framework through application of standard econometric methods to its central idea, which is that financial bubbles reflect urgent short side rationed demand. From this basic idea, an elasticity of variance concept is developed. The notion that easy credit provides fuel for bubbles is supported. It is further shown that a behavioral risk premium can probably be measured and related to the standard equity risk premium models in a way that is consistent with conventional theory"--Provided by publisher.
526 0 _aHDR974
650 0 _aCapital market.
_98370
650 0 _aFinancial crises.
_92248
650 0 _aCommercial crimes.
_950999
856 _uhttps://uowd.box.com/s/voi1l0hzdxefb6h2nsi3g137q5lpq5h8
_zLocation Map
942 _cREGULAR
_2ddc