| LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CONTROL NUMBER |
|---|
| LC control number |
2009041215 |
| INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
|---|
| International Standard Book Number |
9780231150484 (cloth : alk. paper) |
| INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
|---|
| International Standard Book Number |
9780231521673 (ebook) |
| DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
|---|
| Call number |
332.63/2042 |
| MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Authors |
Posner, Kenneth A. |
| TITLE STATEMENT |
|---|
| Title |
Stalking the black swan : |
| Subtitle |
research and decision-making in a world of extreme volatility / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc |
Kenneth A. Posner. |
| PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
|---|
| Place of publication |
New York : |
| Publisher |
Columbia University Press, |
| Date |
c2010. |
| PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
|---|
| Extent |
xv, 267 p. : |
| Other Details |
ill. ; |
| Size |
24 cm. |
| SERIES STATEMENT |
|---|
| Series statement |
Columbia Business School Publishing |
| CONTENTS |
|---|
| Contents |
Forecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between over- and under-confidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to update a thesis for new information, without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment. |
| SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical Heading |
Investment analysis. |
| SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical Heading |
Investments |
| General |
Forecasting. |
| SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical Heading |
Business cycles. |
| SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical Heading |
Recessions. |
| ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS |
|---|
| Uniform Resource Identifier |
https://uowd.box.com/s/5gjkje3xpj9pb0o1rcb3xi5ct5s2vteq |
| Public note |
Location Map |
| MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| -- |
49058 |
| SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| -- |
648 |
| SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| -- |
48940 |
| SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| -- |
24450 |
| SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| -- |
5670 |